Daily Brief
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As Iran resumes large-scale exports and OPEC fails to limit production, oil will remain cheap in 2016.
Concerned about developments on its southern border, Turkey will adopt a more assertive stance towards the Syrian and possibly engage in a limited intervention.
In an election year, the US will face a bold Kremlin, fractious Middle East and assertive China.
China’s assertiveness in the South China Sea will result in the US trying to craft a regional response.
While the lifting of sanctions may signal a broader shift in U.S.-Iranian relations, the historically fraught relationship faces many challenges.
Islam has become the central ideological battle ground in the new Middle Eastern Cold War
Turkey’s desire for a no fly zone over northern Syria has been frustrated by Russian intervention.
As Western leaders soften their stance over Bashar al Assad’s future, the groundwork for a political solution may be in the offing.